• 🏴حمید پیام عباسی🏴@crazypeople.online
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    14 hours ago

    Lemmy libs still think that the EU is going to step up and provide military support to Ukraine in any meaningful way and believe they’re in opposition to US and Russia and will stand up for what is right and against “imperial aggression”. Meanwhile the EU members are awarding right wing María Corina Machado a peace price in Oslo who is calling for the US to escalate a war in Venezuela.

  • king_comrade@lemmy.world
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    11 hours ago

    Russia’s 3 day operation continues to amaze me, they truly suck at war like their generals are worse than a 14 year old total war gamer. Everyday it’s ‘russia gonan win real soon totes promise!’ and yet they continue to stall out over 55 year old blokes with out of date war gear. Pathetic truly, as sad as the Yankees wasting 20 years in the desert only to be defeated by goat herders lmao. These imperialist powers sure know how to waste their young men!

    • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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      2 hours ago

      The “3 day war” idea was not an official millitary or government statement, Lukashenko and an RT editor both said it and the west has been using it as a way to obscure the fact that Russia has been steadily achieving its actually stated goals. I know you’ve read Lenin, have you read Imperialism, the Current Highest Stage of Capitalism? The Russian Federation is governed by nationalists, not finance capital, and Russia doesn’t have a stake in the global financial monopoly. It’s the west that has that. Russia doesn’t really meet the Marxist understanding of imperialism, nor is it acting how we would expect imperialist powers to act.

      • king_comrade@lemmy.world
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        3 hours ago

        Well, I am a gambling man, how much we talking? Cos a penny bet reckons it’s a Russian loss but would I go all in? Not yet…

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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          2 hours ago

          Before you start making bets, what do you count as a Russian victory? It’s almost certainly going to end favorably to Russia, so I’m not sure why you’d take this bet.

          • king_comrade@lemmy.world
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            2 hours ago

            Initial goal was to denazify and demilitarise Ukraine and also to ‘protect the people of Luhansk and Donetsk’ right? So anything short of that is sort of a loss. I don’t think Putin can get all of that he’s going to have to compromise.

            • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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              1 hour ago

              Russia wants the four oblasts, which they have been accelerating their advance in in the last few months. Cheap and deadly FPV drones force slow movement in general, but in the last few months strings of Kiev-held strongholds are falling left and right. Ukraine can’t field the war much longer either, and the war is becoming increasingly unpopular. What’s likely is that the four oblasts go to Russia, Kiev is forced into NATO neutrality, and their millitary is severely crippled. That’s absolutely a Russian victory.

              Which of these do you think Russia will have to compromise on, and why would you consider the compromise to be a loss?

    • subversive_dev@lemmy.ml
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      8 hours ago

      Remind me, which international alliance was putting its full military and financial support behind these “goat herders” during the failed US occupation?

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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          2 hours ago

          China and Russia are not imperialist, they are closer to global south countries in their position with respect to imperialism as a global phenomenon. In order to fight the tendency for the rate of profit to fall, capital either seeks new markets, ie new inventions to flood with capital or geographically new markets, or it seeks to establish monopoly. The former allows for greater profits in absolute terms, the latter temporarily raises the rate of profit. The natural consequence is imperialism, where this is combined by having financial capital dominate the global south, super-exploiting labor for super-profits, and via unequal exchange, where technology and tech development is kept in the global north and thus monopoly prices are charged.

          This is also why south-south trade is the path to escape underdevelopment, and is why China in particular has been a progressive force for the global south, as they don’t withold tech knowledge but instead share it through cooperation and trade. China also doesn’t charge the same monopoly prices for tech, which is why global south countries are seeing huge electrification, expansions in EVs, etc.

          The west used to have a monopoly on cutting edge tech, they witheld the technology used for creating firearms from African countries for hundreds of years while selectively trading firearms in limited quantities for huge amounts of slaves, as an example. The west forces the global south to rely on them, and forces them into remaining at lower levels of industrial development and refinement. It’s also why countries like the Sahel States are working towards cutting unrefined gold exports and upping refined gold exports, ie moving from unfinished raw materials into more finished goods or ancillary materials, and why porkie is terrified of them.

          It isn’t that goods further along in the commodity production process have more valuable labor time at the higher end, it’s that the upper end of the production chain is easier to keep a tech and skill monopoly on. This is what liberals mean by “higher value add” industries, made more naked through Marxist analysis.

    • मुक्त@lemmy.ml
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      7 hours ago

      America didn’t lose that many lives in AfPak. I believe for years there was just one reported casualty, and that too in friendly fire.

  • Luci@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago

    By leaving Ukraine right? Thats the only logical conclusion I can think of.

    Edit: holy hot heck did my block list just grow today.

    • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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      2 days ago

      Reporting on what Putin has said about the state of the war is not “simping” for anyone, nor is Marxism-Leninism about “simping” for anyone.

      • postcapitalism@lemmy.today
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        2 days ago

        Cowbee. I appreciate some of your takes on Marxism, but disagree frequently with your frame of reference on state power in the global field.

        I view the war with Ukraine as one of Russo imperialism in response to Western imperialism. Indeed the USSR itself had many imperialist tendencies under a unified Asiatic / Slavic Soviet even as did Western and Asian counterparts post WW2

        The irony being I am more allied to Trotsky or Luxemburg’s take. Which no doubt wouldn’t receive fair purchase in ML group. Forgive me for not directly referencing War and International - as it meanders but hits many themes relevant to Russia/Ukraine conflict

        That being said to summarize my view: wars of conquest as a tool for furthering state capital / geopolitical interests shouldn’t be supported by Marxists, and posting the rationalization of an autocrat reads as support to me.

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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          2 days ago

          If Russia was actually imperialist and the Russo-Ukrainian war an inter-imperialist conflict, then I’d agree with you, but Russia isn’t imperialist (and certainly not the USSR). In the current era, the US Empire is the hegemon, and its vassals the beneficiaries of imperialism. Russia is governed by nationalists who do not have a stake in the global imperialist system, and as such are forced into south-south trade and south-south alliances. Further, there is a rising communist movement within Russia that is growing year over year that stands to return Russia to socialism.

          Ukraine is used somewhat similarly as how Israel is used by the US Empire; as millitary bases. The far-right Banderites in Kiev have power currently, and are doing their job of de-communization. The Donbass region seceded, and the ensuing war between Donetsk/Luhansk and Kiev is what is sparking Russian intervention. Russia is not doing this in pursuit of new neocolonies to exploit, nor does it have any. Russia lacks the financial capital as well as a spot in the global financial monopoly by which imperialism functions that the west has.

          A NATO victory over Russia would result in ethnic cleansing in the Donbass region, serious destabilization in a significant anti-US force, and a strong ally for socialist countries and anyone trying to break away from the IMF.

            • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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              2 days ago

              Russia doesn’t have a stake in the world imperialist system, France does and has for centuries. If France were to lose in a war against the global south, there would be a huge blow to their continued domination and subjugation of African countries. The fact that Russia has a rising communist movement is just a bonus tacked onto the end, it isn’t an indication of the country being imperialist or not. In fact, the nationalists in charge of Russia are caught between needing to appease the public yearning more and more for socialism and their own interests in perpetuating their capitalist system.

              Does that make sense?

              • postcapitalism@lemmy.today
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                1 day ago

                Cowbee, I disagree almost entirely with what you posted. But with respect for you clearly articulating your position I will share my response.

                To your “But Russia is not imperialist” , please reflect on the following and to what extent you must stretch a rationalization:

                First and Second Chechen Wars (1994, 2000) Puppet Leader in Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko (1996) Puppet leader in Ukraine Victor Yanukovych (2010) Georgian War (2008) Annexation of Crimea (2014) Role in Syria conflict (2000 onwards) Role in African dictatorships in Burma Faso and Niger (2010s- present)

                … global south / US bad too / old Soviet vassal states must kneel ect… I get it. But the above conflicts are evidence of state capitalism exerting itself militarily for geopolitical and economic aims

                I doubt this will influence you much as you are pretty invested in your world view. But from my vantage point and reading of theory (likely some overlap if you are ML) - you are wrong *respectfully

                • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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                  21 hours ago

                  Comrade cfgaussian already answered perfectly here. Essentially, you mix in defensive wars with allyships with other countries, and claim the defensive wars are for imperialism and the allyships “puppetry.” The Sahel States are progressive, and are allied with Russia in their national liberation from France and western imperialism.

                  I am a Marxist-Leninist, yes. Imperialism needs to be analyzed primarily by the definition of imperialism Lenin gives, not on whether or not a country interacts with others. In most of these examples, such as the Sahel States, Russia is working against imperialism.

                  Imperialism is the monopoly stage of capitalism by which finance capital and world monopoly are dominant. Russia does not have this. Russia is currently under the control of nationalists, not finance capital, and it is the west that has that global financial monopoly.

                  Your error is in both erasing Lenin’s analysis of imperialism and viewing any kind of interaction Russia has as inherently imperialist working backwards from there. To use your rhetoric, I suggest you reflect first on what imperialism is, why we define it as such and how it operates, and consider why Marxist-Leninists therefore have the understanding of the Russian Federation that we do.

                • cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml
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                  24 hours ago

                  First and Second Chechen Wars

                  Purely defensive, internal conflicts on internationally recognized Russian territory against CIA backed jihadist terrorists who butchered civilians and committed heinous acts of terrorism such as taking an entire school hostage and murdering hundreds of children.

                  Puppet Leader in Belarus Alexander Lukashenko

                  Lukashenko has been the leader of Belarus longer than Putin has been president. Belarus is in a Union State with Russia, and still has more autonomy from Russia than the average EU state has from Brussels.

                  Puppet leader in Ukraine Victor Yanukovych

                  He was the furthest thing from a puppet. If anything he was Western-leaning, but trying to keep Ukraine neutral. His one unforgivable crime in the eyes of the West was rejecting a terrible EU trade deal that would have ruined Ukraine’s economy (and did) in favor of an objectively much better one from Russia.

                  Georgian War

                  Literally even the EU investigation into that conflict admitted that Georgia started it. Emboldened by believing they had NATO backing, the US puppet president, installed in a color revolution, attacked the region of South Ossetia which was under the protection of Russian peacekeepers.

                  Annexation of Crimea

                  The people of Crimea overwhelmingly voted in a referendum to rejoin Russia in response to the fascist, Western-orchestrated Maidan coup.

                  The majority ethnic Russian population of Crimea did not want the same brutal neo-nazi terror militias that were terrorizing ethnic Russian regions across the rest of Ukraine to come to them, nor did they want to be forced to abide by the russophobic laws passed by the illegally installed Maidan regime, which Crimea, like the Donbass, did not recognize as legitimate.

                  Russia’s actions in Crimea were a response to a crisis provoked by Western intervention and the overthrow of Ukraine’s democratically elected government.

                  Role in Syria conflict

                  Russia co-operated with the legitimate Syrian government against a brutal Zionist/US armed and funded Al Qaeda/ISIS terrorist insurgency.

                  Role in African dictatorships in Burma Faso and Niger

                  Same thing. They are co-operating with the official government of those countries in counter-terrorist operations against Western backed jihadist terrorists.

                  None of this constitutes imperialism. In fact almost all of these are examples of Russia pushing back against Western imperialist aggression, encroachment and proxies.

                • KimBongUn420@lemmy.ml
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                  1 day ago

                  https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/imp-hsc/index.htm#ch10

                  Imperialism is defined as the monopoly stage of finance capital.

                  Russian economy is dominated by the state and oligarchs, not by independent finance capital. It’s territorial expansion while being an regional historical imperialist action is defensive and self limiting and driven mostly by nationalism and security concerns.

                  Your list provides critical empirical evidence for a dialectical analysis but requires contextualization to avoid oversimplification. See response from comrade @cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml

    • NimaMag@lemmy.mlOP
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      2 days ago

      The plan never was ‘3 days’, that was an estimate that came from U.S General Mark Milley.

      • huf [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        2 days ago

        sssh, the 3 day thing has become part of the mythology of this clusterfuck for westerners, they’ll insist it’s real forever

      • freagle@lemmygrad.ml
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        2 days ago

        Well, Lukashenko also said it, and the editor of RT said. But yes.

        The other evidence they use is the feint that was sent directly at Kiev. They think the feint was a real genuine attempt to capture the capital city, and then from there take all the evidence that it was a feint and spin it into bad planning. So specifically, if you send a feint, and you’re committed to that entire allocation of soldiers being wiped out, you don’t send them in with supplies to last for a long slog - you send them in ultra light on a suicide mission. And that’s essentially what the deployment to Kiev was, a group with an ultralight kit heading straight for Kiev to draw out forces and create confusion in the early days of the war. That feint was destroyed and then when they realized it was feint they spun it hard into “look at these fools who thought they could end this thing in three days” basically as a way of avoiding the obvious conclusion that they wasted time dealing with a trick.

        It would be like if someone sent a feint filled with woodland creatures and animated scarecrows and after you waste strategically valuable time dealing with them you spend the rest of the war saying “this opponent is so dumb they thought they could win with scarecrows” when the reality is that you got tricked and the feint did exactly what it was intended to do.