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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • The old Soviet Union’s environmental record wasn’t great. And environmentalism was very low on the Dengist priority list.

    Capitalism incentivizes industrial growth. But it was the “free” real estate of the colonial era and the massive surpluses of the industrial era that incentivized capitalism and created the illusion of unlimited economic expansion.

    The problem is one of economic planning. Can we, as an intelligent advanced civilization, collectively manage the scarce resources of our planet? Or will a handful of individuals continue to divide and conquer the proletariat mass? Simply going socialist isn’t enough. Bookchin will tell you that. Hell, Kropotkin will tell you that.

    It isn’t enough to merely establish a central and democratically managed local economy. We need a world wide organization capable of balancing the current demands against future resource constraints on the scale of centuries. And we need it to be equitably operated by a planetary consortium of committed socialist ideologues, not a handful of post-war juntas that run one another into the ground in another Cold War.


  • Whatever tiny hope of correcting this died when Trump was re-elected.

    The bulk of greenhouse gas emissions are occurring outside the US. Americans have a far higher per-capita output but a relatively small gross population. Even then, the median American’s emissions pale beside that of their billionaire neighbors.

    If global change comes, it is going to have to come through the BRIICS, where the bulk of new industrial activity is taking place and the vast majority of emissions already occurs. Trump decoupling the US economy from the rest of the world and his inadvertent quest to tank the fuck out of the US consumer economy is (quixotically) working in favor of these ends.

    It’s been game over for a while now.

    The game isn’t over, its simply changing. Areas of the world that were habitable will no longer be habitable. Mass migration began in earnest 20 years ago, at the outset of the Iraq War and near-total destabilization of the Middle East. Population growth globally has staled out due to exploding cost of living and economically engineered social isolation of the working class. Foodstuffs that we once considered staples - beef and almonds and oranges - are increasingly categorized as luxury goods.

    But we’ve been in the Holocene Extinction Era for over 200 years. This is the sixth great extinction event in planetary history. And through it all, humans flourished. Hell, the advent of modern nitrogen fertilizers have made plant life flourish. The Earth isn’t going anywhere. Humans aren’t going anywhere (certainly not Mars, given how much more inhospitable it is than even the most nightmarish climate change scenarios). Life as we know it and human engineering as we’ve managed it are both far more stubborn and persistent than you’re giving it credit for. We can endure at a much more efficient level of biome utility than we currently employ. We can persist at a scale of hundreds of millions rather than tens of billions.

    But we’re going to see sweeping changes. Really ugly ones. What we’re seeing in Gaza today is the roadmap for the future of the Global South, unless they can organize and resist a modern western eugenics regime. There is going to be more war and more bombing and more industrial annihilation and more sophisticated efforts by one group of humans to massacre others.

    That’s probably good for the climate, long term. Not good for us or our kids or our grandkids, though.


  • No family can sufficient control downstream.

    The English Royal Family managed it for centuries. The Spanish and French for nearly as long. The Hapsburg Dynasty dominated European politics for longer still. Get into East Asian dynastic rule or the great empires of Ethiopia and Egypt… FFS, the Caesers reined across the Mediterranean for what? Nearly a millennium?

    And no, the world is not made up of distinct languages and cultures. All continuums.

    There’s historical continuums that give birth to discrete divisions through geography and social conflict. The Silk Road connects the length of Asia, but the various mountains and deserts and human fortifications form hard divisions between both linguistics and social practices.

    Physical and social division over time create a compact social separation between people in the same way it creates distinct speciation at longer distances and time frames.