Ever if the bubble pops, AI isn’t going to go away. Profits will never justify the current expenditure, but they will make more efficient AI and it’ll still be everywhere. Just probably not quite as good and enshittified to the core.
I can only hope open models can deliver what corporations will not.
Historically, the only real parallel I can think of is the discovery of electricity, and then the mass deployment and use of electricity.
Both Westinghouse and Edison marketed the benefits and drawbacks, seemingly to create their own moats, but electricity and electricity distribution ultimately became a commodity that we all use as a tool.
LLMs[1] won’t go away. However, I don’t see these big ‘AI’ companies - OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI (shudder) - lasting another 5-10 years as their moats disappear through LLM commoditisation like electricity and electricity distribution.
We’re already seeing this with DeepSeek, et al.
[1] I hate referring to them generically as ‘AI’. The artificial intelligence field is so, so much bigger, more exciting, and I argue more beneficial to the world than The Tech Bros ejaculatory visions of world domination.
Ever if the bubble pops, AI isn’t going to go away. Profits will never justify the current expenditure, but they will make more efficient AI and it’ll still be everywhere. Just probably not quite as good and enshittified to the core.
I can only hope open models can deliver what corporations will not.
I’ve been thinking about this a bit.
Historically, the only real parallel I can think of is the discovery of electricity, and then the mass deployment and use of electricity.
Both Westinghouse and Edison marketed the benefits and drawbacks, seemingly to create their own moats, but electricity and electricity distribution ultimately became a commodity that we all use as a tool.
LLMs[1] won’t go away. However, I don’t see these big ‘AI’ companies - OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI (shudder) - lasting another 5-10 years as their moats disappear through LLM commoditisation like electricity and electricity distribution.
We’re already seeing this with DeepSeek, et al.
[1] I hate referring to them generically as ‘AI’. The artificial intelligence field is so, so much bigger, more exciting, and I argue more beneficial to the world than The Tech Bros ejaculatory visions of world domination.