I think ar might be a dead dream in its current state, I always thought wed have proper ar glasses by now because I fell for Magic Leaps Marketting, not sure if it’ll come anytime soon.
What I do believe is coming is the resurgence of computers through mobile phones. Everyone has a powerful computer in their pockets but isn’t able to use them to their full potential. I wouldn’t be suprised if android pushed out a proper android desktop experience letting android users get the full linux desktop experience when plugged into a monitor, mouse, and keyboard.
Phone performance is stronger than the average laptops/netbooks from 10 years age and they run linux fine for everyday use. Feels like a missed opportunity if someone doesn’t drop a phone or os that lets you take advantage of modern hardwares capability. They could advertise it to families, mo more buying a pc for school, just get them hardware for their existing device, it can already do everything. Schools could use lapdocks, or tabletdocks, that could force school parental controls on devices while at school and still let them use it for their education while in class.
(obviously not everyone has a phone but that frees up resources for the kids that dont, if the kids that do can use cheaper docks with their exisitnt hardware)
AI may well be done it’s explosive growth anyway. Assume all my predictions in that case are “x existing application continues to expand”.
I actually think AR is still coming - it just needs really specialised hardware to work and have acceptable battery life.
The issue with mobile OSs on desktop is that they’re designed to depend on conventional OSs right now. There’s no way to develop an Android app on Android, and debugging your Android from itself is possible, but only as a hack.
On to my own predictions. I’m limiting this to computers, not all technology, which I think was intended.
The fediverse slowly grows.
Geopolitics significantly weakens the US tech monopolies. FOSS benefits, although they probably are replaced by more commercial platforms for the most part.
More likely than not somebody actually mandates cryptography backdoors. It’s a boondoggle, although it might not fully unravel in the window given.
There’s a chance crytographically-significant quantum computing comes early and causes pandemonium. Bitcoin becomes (nearly?) worthless.
Okay, I will mention one AI thing. It’s going to find a place in rendering pipelines for videogames.
The trend to heterogeneous computing continues. Analog and reversible chips become part of the mix.
Nix-type immutable systems become daily driveable.
I used to spend all day daydreaming about ai in class back in middleschool/highschool, magic leap had me thinking we were days away from virtual cod/harry potter dueling, real life yugioh, pokemon go had me thinking glasses were a year away lol. I’ve just needed to give up on AR for my own sanity, It’s the one thing that feels magical when it comes to tech still and gets me delusional/overhyped. Reality would just be ads everywhere.